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5.0

CENTRAL TURKEY

· 3 days ago

Magnitude
5.0 MB
Depth
7.0 km
UTC
4 Oct 2026, 11:43:23
Coordinates
37.742°N 36.101°E
Preferred source
EMSC
Sources
EMSC, USGS, GFZ
Felt reports
1
Revision
Automatic solution
Nearest active fault
~10 km, left-lateral strike-slipGEM Global Active Faults (Styron & Pagani 2020), CC BY-SA 4.0

Expected intensity

AdanaGaziantepŞanlıurfaKayseriMalatyaKahramanmaraşMersinElazığAdıyamanNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 118 km
  • MMI III ≤ 50 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 20 km
  • MMI V ≤ 11 km
  • MMI VI ≤ 5.4 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Felt reports

1 · max III

Did you feel it? Report

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
EMSC ★5.0MB—7.0 km—CENTRAL TURKEY
USGS5.0MWW−0.2 s10.0 km2.7 km21 km ESE of Feke, Turkey
GFZ4.6M+0.8 s10.0 km21.7 kmTürkiye
Revision history (15)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC5.2MB10.0 km37.700°N 36.190°E
USGS5.2MB10.0 km37.741°N 36.108°E
EMSC4.7MB10.0 km37.700°N 36.190°E
EMSC4.6M7.0 km37.742°N 36.101°E
EMSC4.6M7.0 km37.742°N 36.101°E
EMSC4.6M7.0 km37.742°N 36.101°E
EMSC4.6M10.0 km37.700°N 36.190°E
GFZ5.0MB10.0 km37.740°N 36.370°E
EMSC5.0MB10.0 km37.700°N 36.190°E
EMSC5.1MB10.0 km37.700°N 36.190°E
EMSC5.1MB10.0 km37.532°N 37.032°E
EMSC5.1MB10.0 km37.562°N 37.025°E
EMSC5.1MB11.3 km37.623°N 36.314°E
EMSC5.1MB10.0 km37.643°N 36.407°E
GFZ5.1MB10.0 km37.643°N 36.407°E

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 12%, and of magnitude 5 or more 1%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 25%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 325%≈ 0.2971%≈ 1.2791%≈ 2.63
M ≥ 43%≈ 0.0312%≈ 0.1323%≈ 0.26
M ≥ 50.3%≈ <0.011%≈ 0.013%≈ 0.03
M ≥ 6<0.1%≈ 0.000.1%≈ <0.010.3%≈ <0.01

≈ expected number of aftershocks

193 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (18 of M2.5 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -1.973)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 40 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 205