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4.4

Saimbeyli (Adana)

· 3 days ago

Magnitude
4.4 MW
Depth
7.0 km
UTC
4 Oct 2026, 16:00:24
Coordinates
37.767°N 36.098°E
Province
Adana
Preferred source
AFAD
Sources
AFAD, Kandilli, EMSC, USGS, GFZ
Felt reports
1
Revision
Automatic solution
Nearest active fault
~12 km, left-lateral strike-slipGEM Global Active Faults (Styron & Pagani 2020), CC BY-SA 4.0

Expected intensity

AdanaGaziantepŞanlıurfaKayseriMalatyaKahramanmaraşMersinElazığAdıyamanNatural Earth

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Felt reports

1 · max III

Did you feel it? Report

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
EMSC4.3MB+2.4 s7.0 km0.0 kmCENTRAL TURKEY
USGS4.3MB+2.2 s10.0 km3.7 km20 km ESE of Feke, Turkey
Kandilli4.2MW±0.0 s6.3 km6.7 kmAYVACIK-SAIMBEYLI (ADANA)
GFZ4.1MB+4.6 s10.0 km21.4 kmTürkiye
AFAD ★4.4MW—7.0 km—Saimbeyli (Adana)
Revision history (5)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC4.3ML7.0 km37.767°N 36.098°E
EMSC4.3MW7.0 km37.767°N 36.098°E
EMSC4.4MW7.0 km37.767°N 36.098°E
EMSC4.4ML10.0 km37.730°N 36.170°E
GFZ4.0MB10.0 km37.666°N 36.308°E

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 7%, and of magnitude 5 or more 0.7%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 16%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 316%≈ 0.1751%≈ 0.7276%≈ 1.46
M ≥ 42%≈ 0.027%≈ 0.0714%≈ 0.15
M ≥ 50.2%≈ <0.010.7%≈ <0.011%≈ 0.02
M ≥ 6<0.1%≈ 0.00<0.1%≈ <0.010.2%≈ <0.01

≈ expected number of aftershocks

155 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (30 of M2.0 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -1.638)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 20 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 161