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4.3

Saimbeyli (Adana)

· 3 days ago

Magnitude
4.3 MW
Depth
7.0 km
UTC
4 Oct 2026, 17:28:12
Coordinates
37.764°N 36.094°E
Province
Adana
Preferred source
AFAD
Sources
AFAD, Kandilli, EMSC, USGS, GFZ
Felt reports
1
Revision
Automatic solution
Nearest active fault
~12 km, left-lateral strike-slipGEM Global Active Faults (Styron & Pagani 2020), CC BY-SA 4.0

Expected intensity

AdanaGaziantepŞanlıurfaKayseriMalatyaKahramanmaraşMersinElazığAdıyamanNatural Earth

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Felt reports

1 · max VI

Did you feel it? Report

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
EMSC4.2MW+1.1 s7.0 km0.0 kmCENTRAL TURKEY
USGS4.2MWR+1.7 s12.0 km5.4 km21 km E of Feke, Turkey
Kandilli4.3MW−1.0 s5.0 km3.1 kmAYVACIK-SAIMBEYLI (ADANA)
GFZ4.0MB+3.3 s10.0 km26.8 kmTürkiye
AFAD ★4.3MW—7.0 km—Saimbeyli (Adana)
Revision history (3)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC4.3ML7.0 km37.764°N 36.094°E
EMSC4.3MW7.0 km37.764°N 36.094°E
GFZ4.0MB10.0 km37.686°N 36.384°E

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 5%, and of magnitude 5 or more 0.5%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 11%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 311%≈ 0.1240%≈ 0.5164%≈ 1.04
M ≥ 41%≈ 0.015%≈ 0.0510%≈ 0.10
M ≥ 50.1%≈ <0.010.5%≈ <0.011%≈ 0.01
M ≥ 6<0.1%≈ 0.00<0.1%≈ <0.010.1%≈ <0.01

≈ expected number of aftershocks

149 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (22 of M2.0 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -1.681)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 20 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

No aftershocks recorded yet.