Skip to content
Deprem

← Back to the list

4.1

Saimbeyli (Adana)

· 3 days ago

Magnitude
4.1 MW
Depth
7.0 km
UTC
4 Oct 2026, 22:51:29
Coordinates
37.758°N 36.096°E
Province
Adana
Preferred source
AFAD
Sources
AFAD, Kandilli, EMSC, USGS
Felt reports
0
Revision
Automatic solution
Nearest active fault
~11 km, left-lateral strike-slipGEM Global Active Faults (Styron & Pagani 2020), CC BY-SA 4.0

Expected intensity

AdanaGaziantepŞanlıurfaKayseriMalatyaKahramanmaraşMersinElazığAdıyamanNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 61 km
  • MMI III ≤ 28 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 11 km
  • MMI V ≤ 4.0 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Did you feel it? Report

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
EMSC4.2MB+1.9 s7.0 km0.0 kmCENTRAL TURKEY
USGS4.2MB+2.0 s10.0 km3.1 km14 km ESE of Feke, Turkey
Kandilli4.1ML±0.0 s5.0 km1.6 kmAKOLUK-FEKE (ADANA)
AFAD ★4.1MW—7.0 km—Saimbeyli (Adana)
Revision history (3)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC4.1MW5.0 km37.769°N 36.084°E
EMSC4.0MW7.0 km37.758°N 36.096°E
EMSC4.1MW7.0 km37.758°N 36.096°E

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 4%, and of magnitude 5 or more 0.4%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 9%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 39%≈ 0.1033%≈ 0.4156%≈ 0.83
M ≥ 41.0%≈ 0.014%≈ 0.048%≈ 0.08
M ≥ 50.1%≈ <0.010.4%≈ <0.010.8%≈ <0.01
M ≥ 6<0.1%≈ 0.00<0.1%≈ 0.00<0.1%≈ <0.01

≈ expected number of aftershocks

122 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (17 of M2.0 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -1.595)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 20 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 125