Skip to content
Deprem

Magnitude 4.5 earthquake · MB7 km ESE of Tebario, Panama

VExpected intensity: Moderate: felt by nearly everyone, small objects fell
When
yesterday
Depth
10.0 km
From you
Source
USGS
Reviewed
Did you feel it? Report

Expected intensity

7 km ESE of Tebario, PanamaNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 108 km
  • MMI III ≤ 50 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 23 km
  • MMI V ≤ 6.3 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 20 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 8

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 29%, and of magnitude 5 or more 4%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 62%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 362%≈ 1.1790%≈ 3.6396%≈ 6.12
M ≥ 411%≈ 0.1229%≈ 0.3642%≈ 0.61
M ≥ 51%≈ 0.014%≈ 0.046%≈ 0.06
M ≥ 60.1%≈ <0.010.4%≈ <0.010.6%≈ <0.01

≈ expected number of aftershocks

3 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (3 of M3.5 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -1.345)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
EMSC4.5MB+1.1 s15.0 km4.2 kmPANAMA
GFZ4.7MB+1.1 s10.0 km15.2 kmPanama
USGS ★4.5MB—10.0 km—7 km ESE of Tebario, Panama
Revision history (1)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC4.5MB10.0 km7.699°N 80.914°W