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Deprem

Magnitude 4.4 earthquake · MPanama

VIExpected intensity: Strong: everyone frightened, furniture moved, plaster fell
When
5 hr ago
Depth
5.0 km
From you
Source
EMSC
Automatic
Did you feel it? Report

Expected intensity

PanamaNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 100 km
  • MMI III ≤ 47 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 22 km
  • MMI V ≤ 10 km
  • MMI VI ≤ 2.0 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 20 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 4

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 33%, and of magnitude 5 or more 4%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 75%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 375%≈ 2.1589%≈ 4.4993%≈ 6.45
M ≥ 418%≈ 0.2233%≈ 0.4542%≈ 0.64
M ≥ 52%≈ 0.024%≈ 0.056%≈ 0.06
M ≥ 60.2%≈ <0.010.4%≈ <0.010.6%≈ <0.01

≈ expected number of aftershocks

2 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (2 of M3.4 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -1.429)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
EMSC ★4.4M—5.0 km—PANAMA
Revision history (1)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC4.4M10.0 km7.546°N 80.157°W