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Magnitude 4.8 earthquake · MB2 km N of Los Asientos, Panama

VExpected intensity: Moderate: felt by nearly everyone, small objects fell
When
20 hr ago
Depth
10.0 km
From you
Source
USGS
Reviewed
Did you feel it? Report

Expected intensity

2 km N of Los Asientos, PanamaNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 150 km
  • MMI III ≤ 69 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 32 km
  • MMI V ≤ 13 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 20 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 6

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 7%, and of magnitude 5 or more 0.7%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 18%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 318%≈ 0.2537%≈ 0.7447%≈ 1.21
M ≥ 42%≈ 0.037%≈ 0.0710%≈ 0.12
M ≥ 50.3%≈ <0.010.7%≈ <0.011%≈ 0.01
M ≥ 6<0.1%≈ 0.00<0.1%≈ <0.010.1%≈ <0.01

≈ expected number of aftershocks

0 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (0 of M3.8 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -2.661)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
EMSC4.9MB+3.6 s35.0 km2.9 kmPANAMA
USGS ★4.8MB—10.0 km—2 km N of Los Asientos, Panama
GFZ5.1MB+0.2 s10.0 km13.5 kmPanama
Revision history (3)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC4.8MB10.0 km7.545°N 80.134°W
EMSC5.1MB10.0 km7.498°N 80.247°W
GFZ5.1MB10.0 km7.508°N 80.227°W