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Magnitude 8.0 earthquake · MI14 km SW of Pitaloza Arriba, Panama

VIIIExpected intensity: Severe: heavy furniture overturned, serious damage
When
8 hr ago
Depth
33.0 km
From you
Source
USGS
Automatic
Did you feel it? Report

Expected intensity

14 km SW of Pitaloza Arriba, PanamaNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 700 km
  • MMI III ≤ 700 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 700 km
  • MMI V ≤ 484 km
  • MMI VI ≤ 217 km
  • MMI VII ≤ 91 km
  • MMI VIII ≤ 5.0 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 150 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 41

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 100%, and of magnitude 5 or more 100%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 100%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 3100%≈ 455100%≈ 1,034100%≈ 1,531
M ≥ 4100%≈ 46100%≈ 103100%≈ 153
M ≥ 599%≈ 4.56100%≈ 10100%≈ 15
M ≥ 636%≈ 0.4664%≈ 1.0378%≈ 1.53

≈ expected number of aftershocks

42 aftershocks recorded so far within 200 km (29 of M4.5 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -2.487)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
EMSC7.7MW−0.7 s10.0 km9.0 kmPANAMA
USGS ★8.0MI—33.0 km—14 km SW of Pitaloza Arriba, Panama
Revision history (1)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC7.9MW10.0 km7.569°N 80.685°W