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Deprem

Magnitude 4.1 earthquake · ML29 km W from Kassos

VExpected intensity: Moderate: felt by nearly everyone, small objects fell
When
4 days ago
Depth
14.5 km
From you
Source
NOA
Reviewed
Did you feel it? Report

Expected intensity

29 km W from KassosNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 61 km
  • MMI III ≤ 28 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 11 km
  • MMI V ≤ 4.0 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 20 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 48

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 13%, and of magnitude 5 or more 1%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 26%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 326%≈ 0.3072%≈ 1.4092%≈ 3.05
M ≥ 43%≈ 0.0313%≈ 0.1426%≈ 0.31
M ≥ 50.3%≈ <0.011%≈ 0.013%≈ 0.03
M ≥ 6<0.1%≈ 0.000.1%≈ <0.010.3%≈ <0.01

≈ expected number of aftershocks

39 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (7 of M3.1 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -0.992)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
EMSC3.9ML+0.8 s4.0 km5.2 kmCRETE, GREECE
USGS3.9MB+1.6 s10.0 km6.0 km24 km WSW of Fry, Greece
NOA ★4.1ML—14.5 km—29 Km W from Kassos
Kandilli4.1MW−0.6 s2.1 km2.4 kmGIRIT ADASI (AKDENIZ)
AFAD4.1MW+0.4 s7.0 km14.4 kmEge Denizi - [167.95 km] Datça (Muğla)
GFZ4.2MB+2.9 s10.0 km21.3 kmCrete, Greece
Revision history (9)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC3.9ML5.0 km35.360°N 26.640°E
NOA4.2ML15.7 km35.384°N 26.623°E
EMSC3.9ML5.0 km35.360°N 26.640°E
NOA4.0ML5.0 km35.367°N 26.604°E
GFZ4.3MB10.0 km35.191°N 26.580°E
NOA4.1ML5.0 km35.367°N 26.604°E
EMSC4.0ML5.0 km35.360°N 26.640°E
EMSC4.1ML5.0 km35.360°N 26.640°E
NOA4.2ML10.0 km35.353°N 26.608°E