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Deprem

Magnitude 4.0 earthquake · ML21 km WSW from Kassos

VExpected intensity: Moderate: felt by nearly everyone, small objects fell
When
1 hr ago
Depth
18.6 km
From you
Source
NOA
Reviewed
Did you feel it? Report

Expected intensity

21 km WSW from KassosNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 56 km
  • MMI III ≤ 25 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 10 km
  • MMI V ≤ 2.9 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 20 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 7

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 3%, and of magnitude 5 or more 0.4%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 15%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 315%≈ 0.2022%≈ 0.3526%≈ 0.47
M ≥ 42%≈ 0.023%≈ 0.044%≈ 0.05
M ≥ 50.2%≈ <0.010.4%≈ <0.010.5%≈ <0.01
M ≥ 6<0.1%≈ 0.00<0.1%≈ 0.00<0.1%≈ 0.00

≈ expected number of aftershocks

2 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (0 of M3.0 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -2.55)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
USGS4.2MB+1.8 s10.0 km17.5 km31 km WNW of Fry, Greece
NOA ★4.0ML—18.6 km—21 Km WSW from Kassos
Kandilli4.2MW−0.2 s5.2 km17.0 kmGIRIT ADASI (AKDENIZ)
AFAD4.1MW+0.8 s8.3 km21.6 kmEge Denizi - [165.21 km] Datça (Muğla)
EMSC4.0ML+1.0 s10.0 km3.0 kmCRETE, GREECE
Revision history (5)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
NOA4.1ML10.0 km35.380°N 26.682°E
NOA4.0ML10.0 km35.380°N 26.682°E
EMSC4.1ML10.0 km35.370°N 26.720°E
EMSC4.2ML10.0 km35.370°N 26.720°E
NOA4.3ML10.0 km35.380°N 26.682°E