68 km ENE of Tadine, New Caledonia

26 Sept 2026, 00:23:05 · 3 hr ago

Magnitude: 7.0 MI
Depth: 17.1 km
UTC: 25 Sept 2026, 21:23:05
Coordinates: 21.246°S 168.453°E
Preferred source: USGS
Sources: USGS, EMSC
Felt reports: 0
Revision: Automatic solution
Nearest active fault: ~36 km, Subduction_ThrustGEM Global Active Faults (Styron & Pagani 2020), CC BY-SA 4.0

Expected intensity

MMI II ≤ 700 km
MMI III ≤ 343 km
MMI IV ≤ 111 km
MMI V ≤ 65 km
MMI VI ≤ 46 km
MMI VII ≤ 34 km
MMI VIII ≤ 23 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Did you feel it? Report

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

Source	Magnitude	Time	Δ time	Depth	Δ location	Place
EMSC	6.6MW	26 Sept 2026, 00:23:04	−0.9 s	10.0 km	15.9 km	LOYALTY ISLANDS
USGS ★	7.0MI	26 Sept 2026, 00:23:05	—	17.1 km	—	68 km ENE of Tadine, New Caledonia

Revision history (7)

Source	Magnitude	Time	Depth	Coordinates	Received
EMSC	6.6MW	26 Sept 2026, 00:23:03	10.0 km	21.298°S 168.610°E	26 Sept 2026, 00:40:44
EMSC	6.6M	26 Sept 2026, 00:23:04	6.2 km	21.229°S 168.607°E	26 Sept 2026, 00:35:14
EMSC	6.4MB	26 Sept 2026, 00:23:04	6.2 km	21.229°S 168.607°E	26 Sept 2026, 00:33:50
EMSC	6.4MB	26 Sept 2026, 00:23:04	8.2 km	21.235°S 168.623°E	26 Sept 2026, 00:33:40
EMSC	6.4MB	26 Sept 2026, 00:23:04	5.9 km	21.215°S 168.635°E	26 Sept 2026, 00:32:25
EMSC	6.4MB	26 Sept 2026, 00:23:03	2.8 km	21.237°S 168.673°E	26 Sept 2026, 00:31:56
EMSC	6.4MB	26 Sept 2026, 00:23:07	31.0 km	21.260°S 168.670°E	26 Sept 2026, 00:29:49

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 100%, and of magnitude 5 or more 80%.

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 100%.

Magnitude	1 day	1 week	1 month
M ≥ 3	100%≈ 107	100%≈ 201	100%≈ 277
M ≥ 4	99%≈ 11	100%≈ 20	100%≈ 28
M ≥ 5	61%≈ 1.07	80%≈ 2.01	87%≈ 2.77
M ≥ 6	10%≈ 0.11	18%≈ 0.20	23%≈ 0.28

≈ expected number of aftershocks

3 aftershocks recorded so far within 41 km (3 of M4.5 or more).

Computed: 26 Sept 2026, 03:00. Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -2.362)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow AFAD for official statements.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 150 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 3