Karaköprü (Şanlıurfa)
· 3 hr ago
- Magnitude
- 5.4 MW
- Depth
- 7.0 km
- UTC
- 24 Sept 2026, 07:40:56
- Coordinates
- 37.420°N 38.868°E
- Province
- Şanlıurfa
- Preferred source
- AFAD
- Sources
- AFAD, Kandilli, EMSC, USGS
- Felt reports
- 0
- Revision
- Reviewed by an analyst
- Nearest active fault
- ~24 km, right-lateral strike-slipGEM Global Active Faults (Styron & Pagani 2020), CC BY-SA 4.0
Expected intensity
- MMI II ≤ 173 km
- MMI III ≤ 68 km
- MMI IV ≤ 28 km
- MMI V ≤ 15 km
- MMI VI ≤ 9.2 km
Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.
Felt reports
No reports yet.
Source comparison
Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.
| Source | Magnitude | Time | Δ time | Depth | Δ location | Place |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFAD ★ | 5.4 MW | 24 Sept 2026, 10:40:56 | — | 7.0 km | — | Karaköprü (Şanlıurfa) |
| EMSC | 5.3 MW | 24 Sept 2026, 10:40:58 | +2.1 s | 7.0 km | 0.0 km | EASTERN TURKEY |
| USGS | 5.3 MWW | 24 Sept 2026, 10:40:58 | +2.1 s | 10.0 km | 5.9 km | 15 km SSW of Hilvan, Turkey |
| Kandilli | 5.3 MW | 24 Sept 2026, 10:40:55 | −1.0 s | 5.1 km | 7.7 km | PINARBASI-(SANLIURFA) |
Aftershock forecast
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 5%, and of magnitude 5 or more 0.5%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 21%.
| Magnitude | 1 day | 1 week | 1 month |
|---|---|---|---|
| M ≥ 3 | 21%≈ 0.27 | 35%≈ 0.52 | 43%≈ 0.72 |
| M ≥ 4 | 3%≈ 0.03 | 5%≈ 0.05 | 7%≈ 0.07 |
| M ≥ 5 | 0.3%≈ <0.01 | 0.5%≈ <0.01 | 0.7%≈ <0.01 |
| M ≥ 6 | <0.1%≈ 0.00 | <0.1%≈ <0.01 | <0.1%≈ <0.01 |
≈ expected number of aftershocks
1 aftershock recorded so far within 10 km (0 of M2.5 or more).
Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request.(b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -3.45)
This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow AFAD for official statements.
Aftershocks
Earthquakes within 40 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.
Count: 1