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Deprem

Magnitude 5.0 earthquake · MB3 km NW of Flores, Panama

VIExpected intensity: Strong: everyone frightened, furniture moved, plaster fell
When
3 hr ago
Depth
10.0 km
From you
Source
USGS
Reviewed
Did you feel it? Report

Expected intensity

3 km NW of Flores, PanamaNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 186 km
  • MMI III ≤ 87 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 40 km
  • MMI V ≤ 18 km
  • MMI VI ≤ 0.5 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 40 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 4

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 18%, and of magnitude 5 or more 2%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 47%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 347%≈ 1.3361%≈ 2.5867%≈ 3.60
M ≥ 411%≈ 0.1318%≈ 0.2623%≈ 0.36
M ≥ 51%≈ 0.012%≈ 0.033%≈ 0.04
M ≥ 60.1%≈ <0.010.3%≈ <0.010.4%≈ <0.01

≈ expected number of aftershocks

0 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (0 of M4.0 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -2.589)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
USGS ★5.0MB—10.0 km—3 km NW of Flores, Panama
EMSC5.0MB±0.0 s10.0 km0.0 kmPANAMA
GFZ5.0MB+0.7 s10.0 km5.6 kmPanama
Revision history (3)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC5.0MB12.0 km7.557°N 80.359°W
EMSC5.0MB12.0 km7.550°N 80.236°W
EMSC5.3M12.0 km7.550°N 80.236°W