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Magnitude 4.8 earthquake · MWW11 km SSW of Tebario, Panama

VExpected intensity: Moderate: felt by nearly everyone, small objects fell
When
3 hr ago
Depth
10.0 km
From you
Source
USGS
Reviewed
Did you feel it? Report

Expected intensity

11 km SSW of Tebario, PanamaNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 150 km
  • MMI III ≤ 69 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 32 km
  • MMI V ≤ 13 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 20 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 2

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 65%, and of magnitude 5 or more 13%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 95%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 395%≈ 7.7798%≈ 1599%≈ 21
M ≥ 447%≈ 0.7865%≈ 1.4974%≈ 2.07
M ≥ 57%≈ 0.0813%≈ 0.1518%≈ 0.21
M ≥ 60.8%≈ <0.011%≈ 0.022%≈ 0.02

≈ expected number of aftershocks

2 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (2 of M3.8 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -1.363)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
USGS ★4.8MWW—10.0 km—11 km SSW of Tebario, Panama
EMSC4.8MW±0.0 s10.0 km0.0 kmPANAMA
GFZ5.0MB+1.7 s10.0 km13.2 kmPanama
Revision history (4)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC5.0MB15.0 km7.716°N 80.921°W
EMSC5.0MB15.0 km7.776°N 80.839°W
EMSC5.0MB15.0 km7.731°N 80.871°W
EMSC5.0MB10.0 km7.726°N 80.951°W