Skip to content
Deprem

Magnitude 4.3 earthquake · MPanama

VIIExpected intensity: Very strong: hard to stand, damage to weak buildings
When
2 hr ago
Depth
1.0 km
From you
Source
EMSC
Automatic
Did you feel it? Report

Expected intensity

PanamaNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 87 km
  • MMI III ≤ 40 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 20 km
  • MMI V ≤ 10 km
  • MMI VI ≤ 4.6 km
  • MMI VII ≤ 2.0 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 20 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 1

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 19%, and of magnitude 5 or more 2%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 55%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 355%≈ 1.2869%≈ 2.3776%≈ 3.25
M ≥ 411%≈ 0.1319%≈ 0.2424%≈ 0.33
M ≥ 51%≈ 0.012%≈ 0.023%≈ 0.03
M ≥ 60.1%≈ <0.010.2%≈ <0.010.3%≈ <0.01

≈ expected number of aftershocks

1 aftershock recorded so far within 10 km (1 of M3.3 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -1.786)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
EMSC ★4.3M—1.0 km—PANAMA
Revision history (1)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC4.3M10.0 km7.999°N 81.356°W