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Deprem

Magnitude 4.5 earthquake · MPanama-Costa Rica Border Region

VIExpected intensity: Strong: everyone frightened, furniture moved, plaster fell
When
4 hr ago
Depth
3.0 km
From you
Source
EMSC
Automatic
Did you feel it? Report

Expected intensity

Panama-Costa Rica Border RegionNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 108 km
  • MMI III ≤ 50 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 25 km
  • MMI V ≤ 12 km
  • MMI VI ≤ 5.0 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 20 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 1

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 7%, and of magnitude 5 or more 0.7%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 23%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 323%≈ 0.3836%≈ 0.7643%≈ 1.07
M ≥ 44%≈ 0.047%≈ 0.089%≈ 0.11
M ≥ 50.4%≈ <0.010.7%≈ <0.011%≈ 0.01
M ≥ 6<0.1%≈ 0.00<0.1%≈ <0.010.1%≈ <0.01

≈ expected number of aftershocks

0 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (0 of M3.5 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -2.598)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
EMSC ★4.5M—3.0 km—PANAMA-COSTA RICA BORDER REGION
Revision history (1)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC4.0M3.0 km8.490°N 82.316°W