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Magnitude 4.8 earthquake · MB4 km NE of Río Grande, Panama

VExpected intensity: Moderate: felt by nearly everyone, small objects fell
When
2 hr ago
Depth
10.0 km
From you
Source
USGS
Reviewed
Did you feel it? Report

Expected intensity

4 km NE of Río Grande, PanamaNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 150 km
  • MMI III ≤ 69 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 32 km
  • MMI V ≤ 13 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 20 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 1

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 14%, and of magnitude 5 or more 2%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 41%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 341%≈ 1.0554%≈ 1.9160%≈ 2.61
M ≥ 49%≈ 0.1114%≈ 0.1918%≈ 0.26
M ≥ 51%≈ 0.012%≈ 0.022%≈ 0.03
M ≥ 60.1%≈ <0.010.2%≈ <0.010.3%≈ <0.01

≈ expected number of aftershocks

0 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (0 of M3.8 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -2.57)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
USGS ★4.8MB—10.0 km—4 km NE of Río Grande, Panama
EMSC4.8MB±0.0 s10.0 km0.0 kmPANAMA
GFZ4.8MB+1.0 s10.0 km3.8 kmPanama