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Deprem

Magnitude 5.0 earthquake · MB14 km SE of Río Grande, Panama

When
14 hr ago
Depth
10.0 km
From you
Source
USGS
Reviewed
Did you feel it? Report

Expected intensity

14 km SE of Río Grande, PanamaNatural Earth

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 40 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

No aftershocks recorded yet.

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 71%, and of magnitude 5 or more 14%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 96%.

A larger earthquake followed this one; this one may have been a foreshock. Go to the larger earthquake

Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 396%≈ 6.0999%≈ 16100%≈ 25
M ≥ 442%≈ 0.6171%≈ 1.6183%≈ 2.54
M ≥ 56%≈ 0.0614%≈ 0.1621%≈ 0.25
M ≥ 60.6%≈ <0.012%≈ 0.022%≈ 0.03

≈ expected number of aftershocks

3 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (3 of M4.0 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -1.291)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
EMSC5.0MB+1.5 s13.9 km10.9 kmPANAMA
GFZ5.1MB+0.9 s10.0 km6.9 kmPanama
USGS ★5.0MB—10.0 km—14 km SE of Río Grande, Panama
Revision history (2)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
GFZ5.1MB42.1 km7.673°N 81.279°W
EMSC5.0MB10.0 km7.616°N 81.249°W