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Magnitude 4.7 earthquake · MB101 km NE of Ruteng, Indonesia

VExpected intensity: Moderate: felt by nearly everyone, small objects fell
When
2 days ago
Depth
10.0 km
From you
Source
USGS
Reviewed
Did you feel it? Report

Expected intensity

101 km NE of Ruteng, IndonesiaNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 138 km
  • MMI III ≤ 64 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 29 km
  • MMI V ≤ 11 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 20 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

Count: 7

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 3%, and of magnitude 5 or more 0.3%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 8%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 38%≈ 0.0923%≈ 0.3434%≈ 0.64
M ≥ 40.9%≈ <0.013%≈ 0.036%≈ 0.06
M ≥ 5<0.1%≈ <0.010.3%≈ <0.010.6%≈ <0.01
M ≥ 6<0.1%≈ 0.00<0.1%≈ 0.00<0.1%≈ <0.01

≈ expected number of aftershocks

0 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (0 of M3.7 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -2.694)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
EMSC4.7MB+0.7 s10.0 km10.2 kmFLORES SEA
USGS ★4.7MB—10.0 km—101 km NE of Ruteng, Indonesia
Revision history (1)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC4.7MB10.0 km7.899°S 121.044°E