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5.0

26 km SSW of Güiria, Venezuela

· 5 days ago

Magnitude
5.0 MB
Depth
9.8 km
UTC
2 Oct 2026, 16:31:25
Coordinates
10.370°N 62.422°W
Preferred source
USGS
Sources
USGS, EMSC, GFZ
Felt reports
0
Revision
Reviewed by an analyst
Nearest active fault
~5 km, right-lateral strike-slip (El Soldado - Norte)GEM Global Active Faults (Styron & Pagani 2020), CC BY-SA 4.0

Expected intensity

26 km SSW of Güiria, VenezuelaNatural Earth
  • MMI II ≤ 186 km
  • MMI III ≤ 87 km
  • MMI IV ≤ 40 km
  • MMI V ≤ 18 km
  • MMI VI ≤ 2.0 km

Rings show the expected Modified Mercalli (MMI) intensity from the Akkar–Sandıkkaya–Bommer (2014) ground-motion model converted with Worden et al. (2012). Real shaking depends on soil and building.

Felt reports

No reports yet.

Did you feel it? Report

Source comparison

Latest solution of each source. Differences are to the preferred solution.

SourceMagnitudeTimeΔ timeDepthΔ locationPlace
EMSC5.0MB+1.0 s10.0 km11.0 kmGULF OF PARIA, VENEZUELA
USGS ★5.0MB—9.8 km—26 km SSW of Güiria, Venezuela
GFZ5.0MB+1.0 s10.0 km8.2 kmNear Coast of Venezuela
Revision history (2)
SourceMagnitudeTimeDepthCoordinatesReceived
EMSC5.0MB9.8 km10.370°N 62.422°W
EMSC5.0MB84.0 km10.620°N 62.303°W

Aftershock forecast

The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 4 or more in the next 7 days is 3%, and of magnitude 5 or more 0.4%.
The chance of an aftershock of magnitude 3 or more in the next 24 hours is 7%.
Magnitude1 day1 week1 month
M ≥ 37%≈ 0.0824%≈ 0.3740%≈ 0.84
M ≥ 40.7%≈ <0.013%≈ 0.047%≈ 0.08
M ≥ 5<0.1%≈ <0.010.4%≈ <0.010.8%≈ <0.01
M ≥ 6<0.1%≈ 0.00<0.1%≈ 0.00<0.1%≈ <0.01

≈ expected number of aftershocks

0 aftershocks recorded so far within 10 km (0 of M4.0 or more).

Computed: . Method: Reasenberg-Jones (generic, Bayesian a-value update); regime ANSR-SHALCON; generic parameters Page et al. (2016) via USGS OpenSHA GenericRJ_ParametersFetch.json. Probabilities are updated with the recorded aftershocks on every request. (b = 1, p = 0.98, c = 0.018 days, a = -2.719)

This is a statistical forecast, not an earthquake prediction. Actual aftershock activity can differ; follow local authorities for official statements.

Aftershocks

Earthquakes within 40 km of the epicentre in the first 30 days.

No aftershocks recorded yet.